7/10/25

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     The Livestock Markets were mixed again today, with the Fats and Feeders making new contract highs again but falling apart after. August'25 Live Cattle were 55 cents lower today and settled at 219.22 ½. Today's high was 222.50 and that is the new 1-month and contract high as well. Today's low was 217.20 and the 1-month low is 207.70. Since 6/10 August'25 Live Cattle are 90 cents higher or almost ½%. The August'25 Feeders shot higher early today. August'25 Feeder Cattle were 80 cents higher today and settled at 321.27 ½. Today's high was 326.87 ½ and that is the new 1-month and contract high as well. Today's low was 318.65 and the 1-month low is 300.05. Since 6/10 August'25 Feeder Cattle are 8.12 ½ higher or about 2 ½%. The Hogs traded lower again today. August'25 Hogs were 1.00 lower today and settled at 106.22 ½. Today's high was 108.15 and the 1-month and contract high are 113.37 ½. Today's low was 105.85 and the 1-month low is 105.50. Since 6/10 August'25 Lean Hogs are 3.57 ½ lower or more than 3%. The US Southern border was closed to Cattle from Mexico again last night, just two days after reopening on Monday. Apparently, a screwworm was found within 370 miles of the US Southern border and that caused the border closure. The Fats and the Feeders shot higher this morning but were unable to hold their gains on a wild trading day with a large trading range. The August'25 Fats Set another contract high this morning at 222.50, just short of resistance at 223.00. The August'25 Fats had a trading range 5.30 wide and settled 3.27 ½ below the new high. If the August'25 Fats break 10% off today's new contract high, the price would be 200.25. The 100-Day moving average is 203.71, the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low is 195.63, and the 200-Day moving average sits just below at 194.06. One cheap way to short the Live Cattle Market would be to buy the September'25 200 puts. They settled today at just 97 ½ cents and would cost $390.00/Contract, Plus, Fees and Commissions, and expire on 9/5/25 (57 Days). The August'25 Feeders had a wild day after setting a new contract high as well today. The August Feeders tried to take off today after the border closure news was released last night but were unable to do so, on a very volatile trading day. The August'25 Feeders traded up to 326.87 ½ setting the new high, but fell from there, on a day with a trading range 8.22 ½ wide and closing 5.60 below the new high. If the August'25 Feeders break 10% from the new contract high today, the price would be 294.18. The 100-Day moving average is 293.83, and below there sits the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low of 281.50, and the 200-Day moving average of 276.71. If you were looking for a cheap way to short the August'25 Feeders, you could buy the August'25 300 Puts for just 97 ½ cents and would cost $487.50/Contract, Plus, Fees and Commissions, and expire on 8/28/25 (49 Days). If you wanted to buy a cheap Put with more time, you could buy the September'25 Feeder Cattle 290 Put. It settled today at 1.17 ½ and would cost $587.50/Contract, Plus, Fees and Commissions, and expire on 9/25/25 (77-Days). The August'25 Hogs dropped another buck today and are now 7.15 below the contract high of 113.37 ½. The August'25 Hogs traded to within 35-cents of the 1-month low of 105.50. I still feel lower is most likely path for the Hogs, and I feel the August'25 Hogs can retrace to the 100.00 level. The 100-Day moving average is 101.14, the 200-Day moving average is 99.82, and the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low is 99.68. A cheap downside Trade in the August'25 Hogs would be to buy the 100.00 Put for just 52 ½ cents, and it would cost $210.00/Contract, Plus, Fees and Commissions, and expires on 8/14/25 (35 Days). If you are interested in any of the Trades above, or the Trades below, or would like to see something specific, just give me a call. If you buy any Livestock - Hedge that Livestock. 

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I see two big trades for this year. I still like the Soybean Oil and the Natural Gas. These markets will correct. Take advantage of any pullbacks in these markets.  NOW IS THE TIME TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT. If you hit the link and provide your information, you will have a wealth of Market information at your fingertips.  Sign Up Now

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Pure Energy and Pure Metals coming soon.

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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     The Grain Markets were all higher today, with the Wheat leading the way higher. The Beans had a good gain today. November'25 Soybeans were 6 ½ cents higher today and settled at 1013 ¾. Today's high was 1015 and the 1-month high is 1074 ¼. Today's low was 1002 ¼ and that is the new 1-month low as well. Since 6/10 November'25 Soybeans are 17 ½ cents lower or almost 2%. The Corn Market held strong today. December'25 Corn was 1 cent higher today and settled at 416 ½. Today's high was 417 and the 1-month high is 447. Today's low was 412 ½ and the 1-month and contract low are 411 ¾. Since 6/10 December'25 Corn is 23 ½ cents lower or more than 5%. The Wheat Market rebounded today. September'25 Wheat was 7 ½ cents higher today and settled at 554 ½. Today's high was 555 ½ and the 1-month high is 594. Today's low was 541 and the 1-month low is 534 ¾. Since 6/10 September'25 Wheat is 5 ¾ cents higher or more than 1%. There is a WASDE Report tomorrow morning, and usually that should help point the way for the next month, but this year everything is different, and we are waiting to see what happens with any Trade Deals. The Grains held their ground today, as there was some short covering before the report tomorrow. There could still be some surprises tomorrow in the Corn, but we will have to wait and see. The deadline for the Trade Deals to be completed is August 1st, so there could still be some fireworks before the end of the month, with 15 trading days remaining in July. I still feel the Grains have a good chance to trade higher from here. The November'25 Soybeans settled just 1 ¼ cents below today's high and could climb higher tomorrow. If they do, the 1030-1035 range looks like the first stop higher with the 100-Day moving average at 1029 ½, the 200-Day moving average at 1032, and the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low at 1032 ½. The December'25 Corn settled just ½ a cent below today's high of 416 ½. There could be a surprise in the Corn numbers tomorrow, and if that were to occur, I like the December'25 Corn trading up to the 447 level for starters. The 50% retracement from the 52-Week high/low is 445 ¾, the 1-Month high is 447, the 100-Day moving average is 447, and the 200-Day moving average is also 447. The September'25 Wheat gained 7 ½ cents today and settled above the 550 level again at 554 ½, just a penny under today's high. I feel the Wheat still has upside potential as well, and there are a few levels above that I like. For the September'25 Wheat the 100-Day moving average is 567 ½, the 200-Day moving average is 584 ¾, and then the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low sits at 593 ¼, with the 1-Month high just above at 594. The Funds are still very short the Corn, Wheat, and Soybean Meal, Trade Deals are near, WASDE Report tomorrow, and who knows what else could happen the rest of the month to influence these Markets. Again, I recommend covering any short position you have now and look to get long sooner than later. I have new levels and trades in all of the Grain Markets, and I am happy to share them with you, just hit one of the Links on this page or give me a call. Buy it when you can, not when you have to. There are Trades that I sent out yesterday in both the Corn and Feeder Markets below. I would like to work with you, and if you have any questions, give me a call. Have a great night. 

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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM   Sign Up Now

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The Trades below were structured and sent out yesterday 7/9/25.

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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.

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August'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.  

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September'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below. 

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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States. 

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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it. 

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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader

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GOD BLESS AMERICA

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Give me a call if you have any questions.

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Bill Allen

Vice President

Pure Hedge Division 

Direct: 312-957-8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

WALSH TRADING INC.

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